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538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent Other/ Undecided Margin Decision Desk HQ/The Hill: through May 30, 2024 May 30, 2024 39.7% 41.3%: 8.0% 11% Trump +1.6: 538: through May 31, 2024 May 31, 2024 39.5% 41.1%: 9.8% 9.6% Trump +1.6: Average: 39.5% ...
Opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United Kingdom general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS) Aggregation and distribution of polls from January 2024 to the calling of the election, with a comparison to the 2019 general election result
As results came in, 538 analysts were breaking them down in real time with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below. Latest Developments. Nov 8, 1:17 AM Wrapping...
By a massive 30-point margin, Americans say Republicans’ protracted battle earlier this month to elect a new House speaker is a sign that “Congress is dysfunctional” (55%) rather than ...
Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races. In 2009 through 2012, Silver appeared as a political analyst on MSNBC, CNN and Bloomberg Television, PBS, NPR, Democracy Now!, The Charlie Rose Show, ABC News, and Current TV.
538 Nov 8, 2022 Econ. Nov 4, 2022 Winner; Alaska at-large: R+8: Mary Peltola: 51.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Mary Peltola (D) Arizona 1: R+2: David Schweikert: 52.2% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Solid R Lean R David Schweikert (R) Arizona 2: R+6: Tom O'Halleran: 51.6% D Lean R (flip)
Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each president since 1937; Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High – Low Highest disapproval Lowest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval average Polls per year 46: Joe Biden: 57 (2021-02-02, 2021-04-21) 37 (2023-04-25, 2023-10-23, 2023-11-21) 20
According to an NBC poll released in April 2023, 70 percent of Americans—including 51 percent of Democrats—believe Biden should not run for a second term. Almost half said it was because of his age. According to the FiveThirtyEight national polling average, Biden's current approval rating is 41 percent, while 55 percent disapprove.
Nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The election was between Democratic Incumbent President Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, as well as other third-party and independent challengers.