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538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.
Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races. In 2009 through 2012, Silver appeared as a political analyst on MSNBC, CNN and Bloomberg Television, PBS, NPR, Democracy Now!, The Charlie Rose Show, ABC News, and Current TV.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent Other/ Undecided Margin Decision Desk HQ/The Hill: through May 30, 2024 May 30, 2024 39.7% 41.3%: 8.0% 11% Trump +1.6: 538: through May 31, 2024 May 31, 2024 39.5% 41.1%: 9.8% 9.6% Trump +1.6: Average: 39.5% ...
As results came in, 538 analysts were breaking them down in real time with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below. Latest Developments. Nov 8, 1:17 AM Wrapping...
Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each president since 1937; Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High – Low Highest disapproval Lowest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval average Polls per year 46: Joe Biden: 57 (2021-02-02, 2021-04-21) 37 (2023-04-25, 2023-10-23, 2023-11-21) 20
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden , the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump , the Republican nominee.
By a massive 30-point margin, Americans say Republicans’ protracted battle earlier this month to elect a new House speaker is a sign that “Congress is dysfunctional” (55%) rather than ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
538 Nov 8, 2022 Econ. Nov 4, 2022 Winner; Alaska at-large: R+8: Mary Peltola: 51.5% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Mary Peltola (D) Arizona 1: R+2: David Schweikert: 52.2% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Solid R Lean R David Schweikert (R) Arizona 2: R+6: Tom O'Halleran: 51.6% D Lean R (flip)
According to the Gallup poll, during Biden's seventh quarter in office (defined as July 20 to October 19) he had approximately a 42% approval rating. This was found comparable to other presidents at the same time during their first term since Jimmy Carter , with the exception of the majority approval enjoyed by both George H. W. Bush and George ...